Author: Joe Outlaw

As detailed in a previous Southern Ag Today article, the American Relief Act of 2025 was signed into law in December 2024 with the following key provisions:

• funded the government through March 14, 2025;
• extended the 2018 Farm Bill provisions through September 30, 2025; and
• provided the U.S. Department of Agriculture with $30.78 billion to deliver disaster recovery assistance to farmers and livestock producers.  $10 billion was designated for economic losses and the remaining $20 billion was for physical losses.

As we noted in an article on July 3, 2025, sign-up for the economic loss program—the Emergency Commodity Assistance Program (ECAP)—is underway.  To date, nearly $8 billion has been provided to producers through ECAP.  We also noted that USDA has released approximately $1 billion in Emergency Livestock Relief Program (ELRP) payments to affected producers, and enrollment for another $1 billion in ELRP aid for flooding losses is targeted to begin in mid-August. Last week, USDA announced that signup has begun for the highly-anticipated Supplemental Disaster Relief Program (SDRP) which targets $16 billion in assistance to producers for necessary expenses due to losses of revenue, quality or production of crops due to weather related events in 2023 and 2024. The remainder of this article will focus on SDRP.

Notably, SDRP is being rolled out to producers in two stages.  Stage 1 is providing payments to producers for eligible crop, tree, and vine losses calculated using data already on file with USDA from previously issued Federal crop insurance indemnities and Noninsured Crop Disaster Assistance Program (NAP) payments.  Stage 2 will target uncovered losses, including non-indemnified shallow losses and quality losses, and signup is estimated to begin in mid-September.

Following are a few of the questions we have received and our responses.  While this is intended to serve as educational guidance, it is no substitute for consulting USDA’s SDRP landing page or for contacting your local FSA office as they ultimately are responsible for implementing the program.

1. How do I know if Stage 1 applies to me?  In Stage 1, USDA is using a streamlined, pre-filled application process for eligible crop, tree and vine losses leveraging existing NAP data as well as data on file with RMA for losses covered by certain federal crop insurance policies. If you expected to receive an application but did not, you can also consult the Final Rule (Page 30572) for more details, including the list of losses that aren’t covered. Otherwise, you can consult your local FSA office.

• If I get a pre-filled application for Stage 1, doesn’t that prove that I’m eligible?  No! In an effort to ensure no one is left out, USDA is sending pre-filled applications (as detailed above) regardless of the cause of loss. But, it is up to you to determine if your losses were due to a qualifying disaster event that Congress chose to cover under SDRP (you can find that list here under “Eligibility”). If your losses were due to a qualifying disaster event, you will simply list that event in Block 18 on the SDRP application you receive in the mail.

• Does the loss I list on the SDRP application have to match the loss listed on my crop insurance loss records? In other words, do I need to go to my crop insurance agent to find out what losses were listed on my crop insurance loss forms? Not necessarily. You may have suffered from multiple loss events on the farm, even if all of those did not make it onto your crop insurance loss records.  If you suffered from a qualifying disaster event (see above)—regardless of the loss event listed on your crop insurance records—you can self-certify to that event in Block 18 on your SDRP application. Please note that the FSA county committee will be keeping a close eye on applications to ensure that the loss event you listed is relevant and actually occurred in the county.

• If I had a loss on my farm but it’s not due to one of the “qualifying disaster events” covered by SDRP, shouldn’t I just pick one of the qualifying disaster events from the list and submit my application?  No! While it may be very painful for a producer who had a loss that was due to an ineligible disaster event, the fact remains that Congress chose to cover only certain disaster events. If USDA is not covering your particular disaster event, it’s because Congress did not provide the authority for them to do so.

• What if I suffered from drought but my county did not meet the D2 and D3 thresholds established by Congress?  If you are in a county that does not meet the D2 and D3 thresholds established by Congress (see the list of eligible counties here), you are not eligible to apply for SDRP based on “qualifying drought.” With that said, if you also suffered from another qualifying disaster event (e.g., excessive heat), you can self-certify by listing that loss event in Block 18 on the SDRP application.  Again, note that the FSA county committee will be keeping a close eye on applications to ensure that the loss event you listed is relevant and actually occurred in the county.

• What if I have an error in the pre-filled parts of my application?  Can I just mark them out and make corrections?  No!  USDA has made it clear that any handwritten changes to the pre-filled portions of the application will nullify the application.  If the pre-filled portions are in error, you need to go back to the source (i.e., either your crop insurance agent for crop insurance records or to the local FSA office for NAP records). They can correct the underlying problem and updated applications can be re-printed by your local FSA office.

• My pre-filled application (Block 14) lists my “Estimated SDRP Payment.”  Is that the amount I should expect to see deposited into my account?  As we understand it, that is the gross payment BEFORE both the payment factor of 35% and payment limits are applied.

• Did USDA just make up the 35% factor?  While we don’t know everything that went into determining the factor, consider the following: (1) USDA made clear that progressive factoring (i.e., applying different payment factors based on gender, race, etc—as was done in the previous Administration) would not be used in SDRP; (2) USDA presumably estimated the total expected SDRP payments relative to the total funding available and determined that 35% was appropriate; and (3) they had to ensure that funding was available for producers who have eligible losses in Stage 2.  Notably, if funding is left over after all applications have been submitted, USDA could issue another round of payments to producers.

• Does the payment limit apply to each year separately (i.e., $125,000 for 2023 and $125,000 for 2024) or is it a combined limit?  The payment limit applies separately to both 2023 and 2024.

1. If I receive an SDRP payment, do I have to commit to purchase crop insurance going forward?  Yes, generally, producers receiving aid must maintain crop insurance or NAP coverage for the next two years at 60% or higher, or repay the assistance with interest.

1. Are all states eligible for SDRP?  This round of disaster assistance was somewhat different than the past.  Congress chose to provide assistance in the form of block grants to Connecticut, Hawaii, Maine, and Massachusetts. As a result, they are excluded from SDRP but will use state block grants funded by the American Relief Act of 2025 to compensate producers for losses.

We plan to update this as additional information becomes available. Importantly, as noted above, you should use the information in this article simply as educational guidance. For any questions related to your specific application/circumstances or for official guidance on the operation of SDRP, it is important to consult USDA’s SDRP landing page and/or reach out to your local FSA office.

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Outlaw, Joe, and Bart L. Fischer. “Supplemental Disaster Relief Program Sign-up Announced.” Southern Ag Today 5(29.4). July 17, 2025. Permalink

We often are asked by the media about the size of and need for government assistance that is provided to U.S. farmers when something goes wrong (e.g., bad prices, yields or both). The first thing we do is highlight that the safety net provided for by Congress is designed to offset some – but not all – of the risks faced by farmers.  It might sound like semantics, but in the policy world…words matter.

The rest of the conversation generally involves talking about uncertainty in U.S. agriculture.  Rather than provide an exhaustive list here, let’s just focus on the three primary determinants of profitability: prices, yields and costs.

• U.S. farm prices are determined by world supply and demand for the crop, the price of its substitutes, and policy.  What type of policy?  First, U.S. producers must compete against producers that are heavily subsidized by the governments of our competitors around the world.  Second, the trade policies of those countries (such as tariffs or other non-tariff barriers to trade) impact prices received by U.S. producers as well. Third, monetary policy in the U.S. impacts interest rates that farmers have to pay to finance their crops, land and equipment and exchange rates that tend to make our exports relatively more expensive than our competitors.  Other types of policies that can impact U.S. crop prices are conservation, biofuels, taxes, and more recently health regulations such as those listed in the MAHA report that questions the health impacts of certain agricultural products (e.g., sugar) or bi-products (e.g., vegetable oils).
  
• U.S. farm yields are primarily impacted by weather…enough said about that.
  
• U.S. crop production costs are impacted by the supply and demand of each of the individual inputs, from seed, fertilizer, and chemicals to equipment, farmland, and labor, among others. Increasingly, for many producers, these purchases also must be financed at elevated interest rates. In addition, all of the policy areas discussed under farm prices above can also impact crop production costs.  

These conversations usually conclude with an explanation that, even though there is a lot of uncertainty, U.S. farmers understand how the forces of supply and demand impact crop prices and input costs and are accustomed to dealing with erratic weather. However, it’s the uncertainty that comes from policy that keeps them up at night.  In our minds, the government safety net helps reduce some of their and their lender’s uncertainty regarding the ability to remain viable and able to try again next year in search of profits.

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Outlaw, Joe, and Bart L. Fischer. “Dealing With Uncertainty in Agriculture.” Southern Ag Today 5(25.4). June 19, 2025. Permalink

While far from over, the House version of the President’s reconciliation package—referred to by the President as the “One Big, Beautiful Bill”—contains significant improvements to the farm safety net.  We have previously discussed in Southern Ag Today the dire need for an improved farm safety net for this crop year, either from a farm bill or through this process.  As we write this, House leadership is still working to secure votes for passage.  Once that happens, the Senate will need to pass their version of the bill.  Assuming the House and Senate pass different bills, the differences would need to be reconciled and the conferenced bill would need to again be passed by both the House and the Senate before going to the President to be signed into law.  This sounds daunting, but one of the key elements of reconciliation (and why it has been used by both parties) is that the Senate only needs a simple majority (51) to pass the bill, whereas a normal bill would require 60 votes. 

The House reconciliation bill includes quite a few changes to the current 2018 Farm Bill that has been extended through September 30, 2025.  In terms of the farm safety net, the two primary commodity programs—Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC)—are extended through the 2031 crop year.  Most importantly, reference prices are increased 10% to 20% depending upon the commodity.  Reference prices would also increase 0.5% annually beginning in 2031, recognizing the need to keep up with inflation in the future.

The ARC coverage guarantee would be increased from 86% of the benchmark to 90%, and the payment band would increase from 10% to 12.5%.  The first change would make payments trigger sooner, and the second change would increase the amount of the payments.  Loan rates for most commodities would also be increased.

Combined payment limits for ARC and PLC would be increased from $125,000 to $155,000 and would be adjusted annually for inflation. The bill would also eliminate the LLC penalty (i.e., eliminate the payment limit on pass-through entities while maintaining the payment limit on owners of the entity) as previously highlightedin Southern Ag Today.

Premium assistance for crop insurance would see increases for individual yield or revenue coverage across all coverage levels.  The Supplemental Coverage Option (SCO) would also see an increase in premium subsidy from 65% to 80%.

The House bill also contains language to allocate a maximum of 30 million additional base acres to producers who have been planting more acres than they have base acres on farms. 

The bill has many other agriculture related provisions, but those listed above—if enacted—would strengthen the producer safety net beginning with the 2025 crop.

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Outlaw, Joe, and Bart L. Fischer. “Much Needed Producer Assistance in the House Reconciliation Bill.” Southern Ag Today 5(21.4). May 22, 2025. Permalink

Long before the 2018 Farm Bill expired on September 30, 2023, there appeared to be one voice among the entire U.S. food and fiber system asking Congress to get a new farm bill completed that would provide producers an improved safety net with meaningful protection from low prices, bad yields or both.  Since that time, the economic condition of U.S. crop farms has deteriorated significantly due to low prices and high costs as reported in Southern Ag Today here and here.  Now, the farm bill appears to be stalled behind other priorities, namely a budget reconciliation bill that will provide the funding needed to extend the expiring Trump tax cuts that were enacted in the President’s first term and to beef up border security, among other priorities.

As part of the budget reconciliation process, the instructions to the House Agriculture Committee were to cut $230 billion from the baseline over ten years while the instructions to the Senate Agriculture Committee were to cut at least $1 billion over ten years.  Figure 1 provides estimates of the 10-year baseline from FY 2025 to FY 2034 to provide some perspective on projected spending across farm bill titles.  The expectation is that Title IV (the nutrition title) of the farm bill is where the majority of savings will originate.  It should be noted that the farm bill that passed out of the House Agriculture Committee last year and the Senate Republican farm bill proposal added around $55 billion (House) and $40 billion (Senate) in spending above the baseline to make the safety net stronger, in addition to other enhancements.

It appears that some parts of the House and Senate farm bill proposals might be able to be added to the budget reconciliation bill.  The exact details of how that might happen are not entirely clear, but it does appear that option is being considered.  Suffice it to say that, in our opinion, that is the only realistic pathway to achieving meaningful enhancements to the farm safety net for the 2025 crop.  There are some who worry this might fragment the farm/food coalition that has generally worked together to get a farm bill across the finish line.  We would, however, point out that the coalition fell apart during the 2014 Farm Bill debate in the House of Representatives, where two separate bills (a nutrition bill and a farm-only bill) had to be passed out of the full House and then combined again during the conference process with the Senate.  While we recognize the importance of all parts of the farm bill, in the name of trying to protect a very vulnerable crop production sector, Congress may wish to consider moving away from all or nothing this time around.

Figure 1.  Farm Bill Titles with Mandatory Baseline, 10-Year Projected Outlays, FY2025-FY2034, billions.

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Outlaw, Joe, and Bart L. Fischer. “Does it Have to Be All or Nothing in Farm Policy?” Southern Ag Today 5(17.4). April 24, 2025. Permalink

Every once in a while, the stars align and our elected officials, political appointees, and career USDA employees get it right and, in this case, right on time.  On December 21, 2024, President Biden signed the American Relief Act of 2025—the continuing resolution (CR) that funds the government through March 14, 2025, and extended the 2018 Farm Bill provisions through September 30, 2025—into law.  Also included in the CR was $10 billion for economic assistance for farmers and $20 billion to cover losses due to natural disasters.  In a nod to the dire conditions in the countryside, Congress stipulated that USDA had 90 days to get the program developed and the assistance flowing.  Agricultural committee leadership in both the House and Senate kept the pressure on Congressional leadership to include help for our nation’s struggling farmers, and Congress delivered.  All that needs to be said is “well done and thank you.”

Between the time the CR was signed into law and Secretary Rollins was confirmed, career USDA-FSA employees were working on developing implementation details and software updates so they could meet the Congressional mandate of 90 days.  Once confirmed, Secretary Rollins made getting the funding out by the deadline one of her top priorities.  Again, all that needs to be said is “well done and thank you.”

As was reported by every agricultural news outlet, on March 18, 2025—and ahead of schedule—USDA-FSA announced that signup was open for the Emergency Commodity Assistance Program (ECAP), the economic disaster part of the CR that will provide up to $10 billion to eligible producers.  This program provides economic assistance payments to eligible producers of specific commodities to help mitigate the impacts of increased input costs and falling commodity prices during the 2024 crop year.  Specific program details are available from USDA here (https://www.fsa.usda.gov/resources/programs/emergency-commodity-assistance-program).

As my colleagues and I have written in Southern Ag Today multiple times over the past six months, the assistance was badly needed, and I know it is much appreciated.  Now farmers are beginning to email with questions about the timing and potential benefits from the natural disaster program.  I know that the Secretary and USDA are working diligently to finalize this program, but I have a favor to ask in the interim: send a “thank you” email to House and Senate Agricultural Committee leadership (and their staff) and Secretary Rollins thanking them for their hard work on getting this much needed assistance out the door.  All of their emails are easy to find, and if you do that you also deserve a … “well done and thank you.”

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Outlaw, Joe. “Signup for Economic Assistance Announced… Producers Turn Their Focus to Physical Disaster Assistance.” Southern Ag Today 5(13.4). March 27, 2025. Permalink