Author: Josh Maples

  • Huge Cow Culling in Southeast?  Not So Fast, My Friend!

    Huge Cow Culling in Southeast? Not So Fast, My Friend!

    Beef cow slaughter has been higher than year-ago levels for most weeks in 2021. National beef cow slaughter is up about 10 percent (or about 6,000 head weekly average) since July over the same period of 2020. In the southeast reporting region which includes AL, FL, GA, KY, MS, NC, SC & TN, beef cow slaughter has been about 25 percent higher since July 2021 than it was during the same period of 2020. That is equivalent to an additional 2,000 head each week on average. This region accounts for about 15 percent of national beef cow slaughter. There has been some additional cow processing capacity brought online in the southeast in 2021 which helps explain the weekly increase in slaughter. But where are the cows coming from? Are producers in the southeast culling cows deeper than previously expected? Weekly auction receipts shed some light on these questions.

    Combined weekly auction receipts for slaughter cattle (reported as both cows and bulls) from GA, KY, and MS are up 3 percent since July compared 2020. That 3 percent increase equals an additional 128 head weekly average. The data is messy, and I don’t have the data for the other 5 states in the region, but the receipts don’t suggest enough of an increase in the number of cows being culled in the southeast to support the big increase in beef cow slaughter in the region. It seems likely that a good portion of the increase in slaughter are cows coming from other regions. Backhauling cows is likely a contributor when calves or feeder cattle are trucked from the southeast to other regions and cull cows come back. The January Cattle Inventory report will tell a more complete story of the changes in cows in each state. 


    Maples, Josh. “Huge Cow Culling in Southeast? Not So Fast, My Friend!Southern Ag Today 1(49.2). November 30, 2021. Permalink

  • Strong Meat Export Totals in 2021

    Strong Meat Export Totals in 2021

    The latest estimates for meat trade were recently released by USDA ERS. These estimates include export and import data across many different meats including beef, pork, and broilers during the month of August. This article highlights beef export data as each sector is on track for record or near-record export totals in 2021.  

    Beef exports set a record at 325 million pounds during August and were 21 percent higher than in August  2020. Japan was the largest volume destination for beef exports during August followed by South Korea and  China. The year-over-year increases in beef exports to China have been large throughout 2021 as shown in the chart above. Exports to Hong Kong have declined. Combined, year-to-date beef exports to China and Hong  Kong are 163 percent above 2020 levels. 

    Pork exports during August were about the same as during August 2020. However, there were big shifts in volumes to particular destinations. Pork exports to China (the third largest volume destination) during August were 49 percent lower than during August 2020. However, exports to Mexico were 50 percent higher which offset the declines to China. Mexico was the largest volume destination during August followed by Japan. 

    Broiler exports were up 5.5 percent above August 2020. The biggest increases were in exports to Mexico (up  22 percent) and Cuba (up 80 percent) from August 2020. These countries were the top two export destinations during August. 

     

    Maples, Josh. “Strong Meat Export Totals in 2021.”. Southern Ag Today 1(44.2). October 26, 2021. Permalink